The Department of Health and Human Services ( HHS ) recently announced that enrollment in Medicare Advantage (or Medicare Part C) has increased while premium prices have fallen. Medicare Advantage is a type of Medicare coverage that is managed by private insurers that are approved by Medicare. According to CMS, premiums for Medicare Advantage plans have fallen by 7 percent on average and enrollment has risen by about 10 percent since early 2011.
The numbers confirm projections made last September that enrollment in Medicare Advantage plans would continue to rise and average premiums would fall. According to HHS , average premiums have fallen from $33.97 in 2011, to $31.54 in 2012, while enrollment has risen from 11.7 million in 2011 to 12.8 million in 2012.
HHS also released the following statistics on the Medicare Advantage program:
HHS also noted, starting in 2012 as part of the Affordable Care Act, Medicare Advantage plans will begin receiving incentive payments called “quality bonus payments” which are intended to achieve high quality scores. As an extra incentive for high quality performance, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services is allowing Five-Star Medicare Advantage and Part D plans to continuously market and enroll beneficiaries throughout the year.
Source: ACA International
According to a forecast from the American Bankers Association’s (ABA) Economic Advisory Committee, the U.S. economy will continue on a course of moderate growth with relatively low inflation and steady job growth in 2012.
The committee stated that, although the unemployment rate is expected to remain relatively stable at 8.6 percent, the economy should add 1.6 million payroll jobs – the same number as in 2011. The committee noted job recovery will be prolonged.
The report also noted that, even though consumer confidence remains weak, the committee expects consumer spending to continue to grow by a 2.0-2.6 percent pace each quarter and by 2.4 percent this year. That rate, along with strong business spending, will keep the economy on a slow but steady path forward.
The ABA committee also saw signs that housing price declines are easing nationwide, but not in all areas, and that there are risks that foreclosures could begin to pick up. Housing sales and starts climbed throughout 2011, and the committee forecast a gradual recovery throughout 2012.
Low interest rates and strengthening credit will support economic growth, according to the committee. For consumer and business credit the committee foresees a gradual reduction in delinquencies and a strengthening of credit growth in 2012. The committee also estimated consumer loans will grow 4.1 percent and business loans will grow 7.8 percent in 2012.
Despite the moderately positive outlook, the committee saw several significant negative risks to the U.S. economy. These negatives included the European debt crisis, challenges surrounding U.S. fiscal policy and geopolitical risks.
Source: ACA International
Total bankruptcy filings in the U.S. increased 19 percent in February over last month, according to new American Bankruptcy Institute. Bankruptcy filings totaled 104,418 in February, up from the 87,981 filings in January 2012. Filings per day rose 27 percent to 3,601 from 2,838 in January. The 99,288 total noncommercial filings in February 2012 represented a 20 percent increase over the January 2012 total of 83,014. The total commercial filings of 5,130 for February 2012 increased three percent over the 4,967 filings in January 2012.
When compared to a year earlier, the Epiq data showed that the total February 2012 filings decreased five percent from the February 2011 total of 109,565. The total commercial filings for February 2012 fell 16 percent from the 6,076 commercial filings recorded in February 2011. Total noncommercial filings registered a four percent increase from the 103,489 filings in February 2011.
The average nationwide per capita bankruptcy-filing rate for the first two calendar months of 2012 (Jan. 1 – Feb. 29) increased to 3.73 (total filings per 1,000 per population). States with the highest per capita filing rate (total filings per 1,000 populations) for the first two months of 2012 were:
Source: ACA International
The National Retail Federation ( NRF ) estimates the retail industry sales will rise 3.4 percent to $2.53 trillion this year, slightly lower than the pace in 2011 in which sales grew 4.7 percent, according to a report released on Jan. 16, 2012.
Though retailers ended last year on a strong note with holiday sales rising 4.1 percent compared to 2010, NRF stated many factors continue to influence the expected slowdown in consumer spending, but none remain more cumbersome than the stalled unemployment rate and lack of newly-created jobs. A number of factors contributed to NRF’s 2012 economic forecast, including:
Source: ACA International